Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.448935 0.493230 0.541413 0.597964 0.662832 0.735288 0.822867
2025-07-27 0.379884 0.441734 0.514525 0.607605 0.725072 0.870628 1.068271
2025-08-03 0.326862 0.394165 0.477551 0.590556 0.743109 0.947187 1.250543
2025-08-10 0.288273 0.356995 0.445440 0.570710 0.748968 1.002677 1.409744
2025-08-17 0.261524 0.331038 0.423379 0.559162 0.761444 1.065766 1.589929
2025-08-24 0.240731 0.310426 0.405547 0.550056 0.774290 1.129135 1.782613
2025-08-31 0.223542 0.292918 0.389861 0.541445 0.785445 1.189991 1.983986
2025-09-07 0.213052 0.283726 0.384874 0.547810 0.820382 1.295516 2.296402
2025-09-14 0.199612 0.269130 0.370470 0.537538 0.825674 1.348700 2.517468
2025-09-21 0.189939 0.259280 0.362254 0.536075 0.845473 1.431651 2.828476
2025-09-28 0.177864 0.245004 0.346076 0.519703 0.836174 1.455707 3.008563
2025-10-05 0.174821 0.244137 0.350674 0.538696 0.894355 1.627923 3.626254
2025-10-12 0.170538 0.241321 0.352322 0.553483 0.948360 1.807566 4.365755
2025-10-19 0.164697 0.235722 0.349063 0.559301 0.985871 1.960562 5.119275
2025-10-26 0.155462 0.224137 0.334970 0.543695 0.976545 1.998683 5.512636
2025-11-02 0.146631 0.212725 0.320420 0.525896 0.960156 2.015767 5.843813
2025-11-09 0.139781 0.204183 0.310241 0.515550 0.958796 2.072449 6.371908
2025-11-16 0.133821 0.196795 0.301590 0.507390 0.961261 2.140548 7.002056
2025-11-23 0.128371 0.189981 0.293524 0.499670 0.963719 2.209684 7.697451
2025-11-30 0.125347 0.187075 0.292197 0.505377 0.998837 2.385450 9.103501
2025-12-07 0.120338 0.180558 0.283972 0.496166 0.996257 2.444088 9.929683
2025-12-14 0.116772 0.176346 0.279699 0.494853 1.013365 2.572098 11.344977
2025-12-21 0.111593 0.169127 0.269507 0.480155 0.994195 2.572880 11.911632